Rejected by the Swiss. Interesting. What would the outcomes be like? Something like this
could cause a massive immigration pull to the country but do you generate a
second class citizen who doesn’t qualify, would such discrimination be
enforceable? The belief that such a basic income would lead to a generation /
nation of feckless loafers rather than one liberated from the shackles of
enforced employment to forge new industries and innovate free from the risk of
failure leading to penury and no social stigma for a universal benefit.
Would it be universal? There would be massive tax and spend implications,
standard arguments of “loss of talent”, marginal income and taxation levels
(there’s going to be a “sweet spot” where you pay a massive marginal tax rate
as you lose the basic income but still aren’t earning huge amounts. The
requirement for a large increase in administration to deal with it, generating
a higher tax bill again to load onto those who choose to work still (and then
keep a smaller share of what they earn).
One
article I’ve read on this raised the positive thought that it means people can
spend their time much more how they want, rather than to the highest possible
earning capacity, but the negative side was a load of people who would
misallocate capital in the form of pointless exercises – think Sinclair C5’s
everywhere, destroying capital and the productive capacity of the economy, and
by extension, causing the resources from which a basic income was drawn – the
tax base – to be permanently eroded, also, what would be the point of education
or higher learning generally?
However,
people currently not enjoying their jobs are misallocating their energy and
skills and the economy is missing out as a result. Lots of university degrees
are handed out pointlessly already and this results in the same lower levels of
productivity and potentially poorer mental health, further diminishing potential
output.
What would
be the government’s desired outcomes? More discretionary spending on goods and
services in the economy, exacerbating the disposable society? Freeing people to
pursue their dreams? Saving money on organising the welfare state? Or at worst
a politically motivated move to outflank an opponent, a good reason to see such
a policy fail to deliver positive outcomes and what a bad government gives at
one point, they can take away at another when times are hard.
I think
better education, flexibility and access to opportunities would be a better
focus. Apparently societies which are more individualistic are happier as you
feel more liberated to pursue what makes you happy rather than sticking to a
broader societal expectation. Therefore to equip people to do that better
would, I think, generate better long term returns for individuals and the wider
economy – though I would add a mandatory course on finance to ensure people
knew the basics, so would be in less need of excessive or extended amounts of state aid!
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